Current Team Rankings
Knockout Match Predictions
finals
Leinster V Stade Toulousain on 2024/05/25
Average Margin: Leinster by 2.7
Completed Match Review
| Match | Result | Lineup Prediction | Minutes Prediction | Club Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connacht V Bordeaux Begles on 2023/12/08 | -36 | -2.4 | -0.7 | 3.1 |
| Glasgow Warriors V Northampton Saints on 2023/12/08 | -9 | 3.1 | 4.7 | 7.7 |
| Toulon V Exeter Chiefs on 2023/12/09 | -1 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 3.5 |
| Bath Rugby V Ulster on 2023/12/09 | 23 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 1.1 |
| Stade Toulousain V Cardiff Blues on 2023/12/09 | 45 | 20.4 | 18.3 | 12.7 |
| Munster V Bayonne on 2023/12/09 | 0 | 14.7 | 13.2 | 12.6 |
| Bulls V Saracens on 2023/12/09 | 11 | -8.2 | -8 | 2.7 |
| Bristol Rugby V Lyon on 2023/12/09 | 2 | 9.9 | 8.1 | 3.3 |
| Sale Sharks V Stade Francais Paris on 2023/12/10 | 23 | 7.1 | 5.8 | 8.5 |
| La Rochelle V Leinster on 2023/12/10 | -7 | -5.8 | -4.8 | -0.6 |
| Leicester Tigers V Stormers on 2023/12/10 | 9 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 4.3 |
| Racing 92 V Harlequins on 2023/12/10 | -3 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 5.4 |
| Bayonne V Glasgow Warriors on 2023/12/15 | -1 | -3.8 | -2.3 | -1.6 |
| Northampton Saints V Toulon on 2023/12/15 | 3 | -3.1 | -2.5 | 2 |
| Saracens V Connacht on 2023/12/16 | 19 | 16.2 | 13.3 | 9.2 |
| Stormers V La Rochelle on 2023/12/16 | 1 | -0 | 0.1 | 3.2 |
| Bordeaux Begles V Bristol Rugby on 2023/12/16 | 19 | 11.7 | 10 | 6.5 |
| Leinster V Sale Sharks on 2023/12/16 | 10 | 15 | 14.6 | 10.2 |
| Lyon V Bulls on 2023/12/16 | 1 | -8.9 | -8.3 | 2.3 |
| Cardiff Blues V Bath Rugby on 2023/12/16 | -7 | -10.2 | -8 | 1.1 |
| Ulster V Racing 92 on 2023/12/16 | 16 | -11.5 | -9.9 | 5.5 |
| Exeter Chiefs V Munster on 2023/12/17 | 8 | -9.5 | -9.5 | 2.8 |
| Harlequins V Stade Toulousain on 2023/12/17 | -28 | -9.2 | -8.8 | 1.3 |
| Stade Francais Paris V Leicester Tigers on 2023/12/17 | -3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| Northampton Saints V Bayonne on 2024/01/12 | 47 | 11 | 9.3 | 8.7 |
| Lyon V Connacht on 2024/01/13 | 14 | -1.6 | -0.9 | 5.4 |
| Leinster V Stade Francais Paris on 2024/01/13 | 36 | 26.5 | 25 | 14.7 |
| Stormers V Sale Sharks on 2024/01/13 | 7 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 3.5 |
| Exeter Chiefs V Glasgow Warriors on 2024/01/13 | 2 | 1.6 | -0.6 | 6.7 |
| Cardiff Blues V Harlequins on 2024/01/13 | -39 | -6.1 | -4 | -1.7 |
| Ulster V Stade Toulousain on 2024/01/13 | -24 | -29.8 | -27.9 | 1.7 |
| Bristol Rugby V Bulls on 2024/01/13 | -14 | -6.9 | -5.2 | -0.1 |
| Toulon V Munster on 2024/01/13 | -11 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 3.1 |
| La Rochelle V Leicester Tigers on 2024/01/14 | 33 | 9.3 | 7.4 | 5.8 |
| Bordeaux Begles V Saracens on 2024/01/14 | 40 | 8.8 | 7.3 | 3.6 |
| Bath Rugby V Racing 92 on 2024/01/14 | 4 | 2 | 1.6 | 4 |
| Connacht V Bristol Rugby on 2024/01/19 | 17 | -0.9 | -0.7 | 4.2 |
| Glasgow Warriors V Toulon on 2024/01/19 | 24 | 11 | 9.9 | 3.7 |
| Harlequins V Ulster on 2024/01/20 | 28 | 15.4 | 13.3 | 4 |
| Leicester Tigers V Leinster on 2024/01/20 | -17 | -16.8 | -16.5 | -2.3 |
| Racing 92 V Cardiff Blues on 2024/01/20 | 22 | 14.5 | 12.7 | 11.2 |
| Munster V Northampton Saints on 2024/01/20 | -3 | -2.3 | -3 | 6.9 |
| Stade Francais Paris V Stormers on 2024/01/20 | -4 | -11.3 | -9.8 | 2.1 |
| Bulls V Bordeaux Begles on 2024/01/20 | 6 | -4.3 | -3.8 | 5.2 |
| Saracens V Lyon on 2024/01/20 | 15 | 19.7 | 20 | 8.7 |
| Sale Sharks V La Rochelle on 2024/01/21 | -13 | -8.9 | -5.1 | 3.2 |
| Stade Toulousain V Bath Rugby on 2024/01/21 | 12 | 8.4 | 6.3 | 7.9 |
| Bayonne V Exeter Chiefs on 2024/01/21 | 23 | -12 | -10.1 | -2.2 |
| Harlequins V Glasgow Warriors on 2024/04/05 | 4 | -5.3 | -3.4 | 2.9 |
| Bulls V Lyon on 2024/04/06 | 40 | 16.2 | 13.4 | 9.8 |
| Exeter Chiefs V Bath Rugby on 2024/04/06 | 6 | -9.1 | -5.9 | 4.8 |
| Stormers V La Rochelle on 2024/04/06 | -1 | -8.2 | -8.1 | 2.5 |
| Bordeaux Begles V Saracens on 2024/04/06 | 33 | -5.3 | -4.2 | 2.3 |
| Leinster V Leicester Tigers on 2024/04/06 | 14 | 26.1 | 24.2 | 13.2 |
| Northampton Saints V Munster on 2024/04/07 | 10 | -0.6 | -0.3 | 3 |
| Stade Toulousain V Racing 92 on 2024/04/07 | 24 | 18 | 15.9 | 9.7 |
| Bordeaux Begles V Harlequins on 2024/04/13 | -1 | 7.4 | 6.1 | 4.4 |
| Leinster V La Rochelle on 2024/04/13 | 27 | 4.3 | 5.8 | 10.6 |
| Northampton Saints V Bulls on 2024/04/13 | 37 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 1.8 |
| Stade Toulousain V Exeter Chiefs on 2024/04/14 | 38 | 16.5 | 15.2 | 8.4 |
| Leinster V Northampton Saints on 2024/05/04 | 3 | 10.7 | 9.3 | 10 |
| Stade Toulousain V Harlequins on 2024/05/05 | 12 | 9.4 | 9.6 | 8.2 |
Model Accuracies
| Model | Percent Correct Predictions | Spread Error |
|---|---|---|
| Club Level | 74.2% | 13.3 |
| Player Level: Lineup | 65.1% | 12.6 |
| Player Level: Minutes | 66.1% | 12.8 |